Topic created on 01st Dec. 2019 | Page: 11 of 86 | Answers: 856 | Views: 135,997
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Gamblejoe Advent Calendar
2nd Dec. 2019, at 08:39 pm CET#101
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how high is the probability that on the first day and on the second day three equal members
with hundreds of members win ?? with just 20 PSC's...
one can calculate everything...that I call times luck... if it runs in the OC also in such a way,
that could mean to get 2 x the Jackpot in a row...is yes possible...
snopsim wrote on 02.12.2019 at 20:23: I find it so sad that every time such beautiful actions, whether from the team or even users, must be overshadowed with this constant bickering. It's just annoying and unnecessary!
I begrudge everyone his win, just made a suggestion to make things a little fairer. Did not know that the people when it comes to things fairness and share so angry.
It is ne Christmas action that is absolutely free... I find the idea also absolutely class no question!
I also now have no desire to argue me here rum. Some people should just loosen up a bit and ask themselves if they do not simply overreact to some things. I'm on the subject now no longer to speak
TheGoldenDwarf wrote on 02/12/2019 at 20:39
what is the probability that on the first day and on the second day three equal members will
with hundreds of members win ?? with just 20 PSC's...
you can calculate everything...that's what I call luck....if it runs in the OC also so,
that could mean to get 2 x the Jackpot in a row...is yes possible...
Of course I could write down a detailed calculation with hypothetical numbers, but I save myself the trouble. It is simply worthwhile to take a look at the probability calculation, then you understand that it is not at all improbable that several people win 2 times in a row
As an illustrative example I can recommend the birthday paradox. This states that in a room with 23 people, the chance is over 50% that two of them have their birthday on the same day. Mathematics is sometimes different at first sight than after the calculation
If we had the numbers of how many people participated in the lottery, we could of course make a calculation if 3-4 people winning 2 days in a row is still within the normal distribution. But I guess that could be good
Bones wrote on 02/12/2019 at 19:40
The prophecy came from me! And I was right but must admit that I had plenty of experience to look back on.
to prophesy that was also not difficult, since you have been around long enough, you have witnessed many lotteries. to take the thought further, there were also in the lotteries last year again and again users who have been selected by the random generator strengthened. for whatever reason, was sometimes clear to see that it is so. to make it clear directly, that gamblejoe has steered the random generator in a certain direction, I think is great nonsense. let alone that they have otherwise somehow manually intervened.
but that the random generator obviously has weaknesses, that the team should have noticed since last year at the latest. today, matthias himself admitted in a post that the draw sometimes leads to the fact that always the same ones are chosen.
so my appeal to the team is to rework the random number generator. there is not just one random number generator. there are dozens, all with different approaches to how the random number is generated
these obvious weaknesses are the cause of the constant displeasure and questions that arise in lotteries like this.
it was somehow foreseeable that there will be again some users who question our honesty and the correct function of our random generator. As a result, we have decided to add a detail output to the ORIGINAL random generator (that we have developed).
Counter developed this today and I sat down and let the thing calculate 100,000x the complete advent calendar lottery.
The names were anonymized. Especially at the beginning (with a few runs), you can see that some users win more often than others.
The more runs you make, the "fairer" (more even) the thing becomes. In the end, the lottery is fair because no one is favored by the random number generator. Everyone has the same chance to win.
Here you can find the video of the random generator in action:
We hope that despite all the criticism you will realize that we are probably acting more transparently than anyone else and that we are not favoring anyone.
Gamblejoe Advent Calendar
Nobody has liked this post so far
how high is the probability that on the first day and on the second day three equal members
with hundreds of members win ?? with just 20 PSC's...
one can calculate everything...that I call times luck... if it runs in the OC also in such a way,
that could mean to get 2 x the Jackpot in a row...is yes possible...
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Gamblejoe Advent Calendar
Nobody has liked this post so far
I begrudge everyone his win, just made a suggestion to make things a little fairer. Did not know that the people when it comes to things fairness and share so angry.
It is ne Christmas action that is absolutely free... I find the idea also absolutely class no question!
I also now have no desire to argue me here rum. Some people should just loosen up a bit and ask themselves if they do not simply overreact to some things. I'm on the subject now no longer to speak
Have a nice evening
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Gamblejoe Advent Calendar
Nobody has liked this post so far
Of course I could write down a detailed calculation with hypothetical numbers, but I save myself the trouble. It is simply worthwhile to take a look at the probability calculation, then you understand that it is not at all improbable that several people win 2 times in a row
As an illustrative example I can recommend the birthday paradox. This states that in a room with 23 people, the chance is over 50% that two of them have their birthday on the same day. Mathematics is sometimes different at first sight than after the calculation
If we had the numbers of how many people participated in the lottery, we could of course make a calculation if 3-4 people winning 2 days in a row is still within the normal distribution. But I guess that could be good
This post has been translated automatically
Gamblejoe Advent Calendar
Nobody has liked this post so far
to prophesy that was also not difficult, since you have been around long enough, you have witnessed many lotteries. to take the thought further, there were also in the lotteries last year again and again users who have been selected by the random generator strengthened. for whatever reason, was sometimes clear to see that it is so. to make it clear directly, that gamblejoe has steered the random generator in a certain direction, I think is great nonsense. let alone that they have otherwise somehow manually intervened.
but that the random generator obviously has weaknesses, that the team should have noticed since last year at the latest. today, matthias himself admitted in a post that the draw sometimes leads to the fact that always the same ones are chosen.
so my appeal to the team is to rework the random number generator. there is not just one random number generator. there are dozens, all with different approaches to how the random number is generated
these obvious weaknesses are the cause of the constant displeasure and questions that arise in lotteries like this.
This post has been translated automatically
Gamblejoe Advent Calendar
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Gamblejoe Advent Calendar
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Gamblejoe Advent Calendar
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Can only celebrate!
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Gamblejoe Advent Calendar
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DrPepper
if you hadn't been pulled twice in a row would see it the same way ....
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Gamblejoe Advent Calendar
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No just not there are still some chances to be drawn .
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Gamblejoe Advent Calendar
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nico85xxx, 
RebellYell, 
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it was somehow foreseeable that there will be again some users who question our honesty and the correct function of our random generator. As a result, we have decided to add a detail output to the ORIGINAL random generator (that we have developed).
Counter developed this today and I sat down and let the thing calculate 100,000x the complete advent calendar lottery.
The names were anonymized. Especially at the beginning (with a few runs), you can see that some users win more often than others.
The more runs you make, the "fairer" (more even) the thing becomes. In the end, the lottery is fair because no one is favored by the random number generator. Everyone has the same chance to win.
Here you can find the video of the random generator in action:
We hope that despite all the criticism you will realize that we are probably acting more transparently than anyone else and that we are not favoring anyone.
Best regards
Matthias & Counter
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