I think it's very brazen to criticize the whole thing. We are talking about a Christmas promotion that GJ definitely does not have to offer. Instead of any suggestions for improvement rauszuhauen, just be glad that there is such a thing at all and just hope for the next few days. The funny thing is, even if always the same 20 would win, you still could not say anything against it or would not be entitled to it. It is absolutely the decision of GJ whether and how they distribute! There is simply times so absolutely nothing to criticize
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Gamblejoe Advent Calendar
3rd Dec. 2019, at 08:31 pm CET#132
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Bone wrote on 02/12/2019 at 20:54
I could of course write down a detailed calculation with hypothetical numbers now, but I'll save myself the trouble. It is worthwhile to simply take a look at the probability calculation, then you understand that it is not at all unlikely that several people win 2 times in a row
As an illustrative example I can recommend the birthday paradox. This states that in a room with 23 people, the chance is over 50% that two of them have their birthday on the same day. Mathematics is sometimes different at first sight than after the calculation
If we had the numbers of how many people participated in the lottery, we could of course make a calculation if 3-4 people winning 2 days in a row is still within the normal distribution. But I guess that could be good.
Well, I actually studied business administration for three semesters and my favorite subject was statistics
i know a little (not much has remained with the years...) about probabilities and THEREFORE only my question how likely it is that
it is that 3 people win on the first AND second day, I do not know the number of participants
and I believe very well that everything happens with right things, why also not ??? Only the probability might be (very) low, nevertheless, it has occurred, so these should evntl also
try their luck in the OC ?
Let's take the lottery numbers, there are certainly many people who think the combination is
2 - 6 - 14 - 23 - 33 - 45 would be more probable than 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5 - 6
so it is quite possible that two, three people could win five or more PSC in that time
just as well as a Jackpot in an OC...or never ...
I also won today, and maybe I'll be there again
And since I won today I will not suggest that candidates who, let's say, won
2 x won, may not participate again, so that the others also still have a chance
have, neeee neeee neeee
Patizi wrote on 03/12/2019 at 20:26: I think yes, that it is very brazen to criticize the whole thing. We are talking about a Christmas promotion that GJ definitely does not have to offer. Instead of any suggestions for improvement rauszuhauen, just be happy that there is such a thing at all and just hope for the next few days. The funny thing is, even if always the 20 same would win, you still could not say anything against it or would not be entitled to it. It is absolutely the decision of GJ whether and how they distribute! There is simply times so absolutely nothing to criticize.
Are you entitled to express your opinion here? Yes? Why are I and others not entitled to express their opinion and, if necessary, to make suggestions for improvement. I have in no way criticized the action itself, I do not know how you can build up so artificially. I think the action is also great and I also do not care that I have not yet been drawn I mean we are talking about 10 €...
I can say also already once that if I should be pulled twice, a map deliver or to the homeless assistance Mainz ( Evangelische homeless assistance Mainz ) together with own money and a few old jackets will donate. I tend more to the homeless, because they can do more with the money than we can. I already dropped off 6 bags of collected jackets from my circle of friends last year
Do yourselves a favor and just come on down...
TheGoldenDwarf wrote on Dec 03, 2019 at 8:31 pm
Well I actually once studied business administration for three semesters and my favorite subject was statistics, so from that
i know to some extent (not much has remained with the years...) with probabilities and THERE just my question how likely
it is that 3 people win on the first AND second day, I do not know the number of participants
and I believe very well that everything happens with right things, why also not ??? Only the probability might be (very) low, nevertheless, it has occurred, so these should evntl also
try their luck in the OC ?
Let's take the lottery numbers, there are certainly many people who think the combination is
2 - 6 - 14 - 23 - 33 - 45 would be more probable than 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5 - 6
so it is quite possible that two, three people could win five or more PSC in that time
just as well as a Jackpot in an OC...or never ...
I also won today, and maybe I'll be there again
And since I won today I will not suggest that candidates who have, let's say
2 x won, may not participate again, so that the others also still have a chance
have, neeee neeee neeee
Well, another factor, not to be underestimated, is the deterministic operation of the RNG used here. I'm just going to assume it's this one, since self-programmed - this is where I'd be only too happy to be improved, since implementing a non-deterministic one must be pretty crazy.
The problem with such is invariably and always that given the same conditions, they also produce exactly the same result.
This is probably one of the reasons why 4x the same people were drawn (because they were in the same place, for example).
Since always the users are taken which have logged in during the day, the list is probably always value-adjusted. So it can be very identical to the previous one
Blubbo33 wrote on 03/12/2019 at 22:35: Hmm, so you only need nen new account if you have won more often and already increases my chance, if I believe the execution of Matthias.
Now I understand why here so many people change their account name .
Gamblejoe Advent Calendar
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Well, I actually studied business administration for three semesters and my favorite subject was statistics
i know a little (not much has remained with the years...) about probabilities and THEREFORE only my question how likely it is that
it is that 3 people win on the first AND second day, I do not know the number of participants
and I believe very well that everything happens with right things, why also not ??? Only the probability might be (very) low, nevertheless, it has occurred, so these should evntl also
try their luck in the OC ?
Let's take the lottery numbers, there are certainly many people who think the combination is
2 - 6 - 14 - 23 - 33 - 45 would be more probable than 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5 - 6
so it is quite possible that two, three people could win five or more PSC in that time
just as well as a Jackpot in an OC...or never ...
I also won today, and maybe I'll be there again
And since I won today I will not suggest that candidates who, let's say, won
2 x won, may not participate again, so that the others also still have a chance
have, neeee neeee neeee
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Gamblejoe Advent Calendar
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Are you entitled to express your opinion here? Yes? Why are I and others not entitled to express their opinion and, if necessary, to make suggestions for improvement. I have in no way criticized the action itself, I do not know how you can build up so artificially. I think the action is also great and I also do not care that I have not yet been drawn I mean we are talking about 10 €...
I can say also already once that if I should be pulled twice, a map deliver or to the homeless assistance Mainz ( Evangelische homeless assistance Mainz ) together with own money and a few old jackets will donate. I tend more to the homeless, because they can do more with the money than we can. I already dropped off 6 bags of collected jackets from my circle of friends last year
Do yourselves a favor and just come on down...
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Thank you for the card, I'm glad. 😊
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Well, another factor, not to be underestimated, is the deterministic operation of the RNG used here. I'm just going to assume it's this one, since self-programmed - this is where I'd be only too happy to be improved, since implementing a non-deterministic one must be pretty crazy.
The problem with such is invariably and always that given the same conditions, they also produce exactly the same result.
This is probably one of the reasons why 4x the same people were drawn (because they were in the same place, for example).
Since always the users are taken which have logged in during the day, the list is probably always value-adjusted. So it can be very identical to the previous one
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MarcT22186
Now I understand why some people here change their account name .
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🤣🤣🤣🤣👍
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