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General sports betting thread 2021
Liked this post: Falko
I feel the same way. No matter which slot. Nothing comes and if times free spins then 4-5 euros win. Is no longer normal
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Manipulated ? 😃
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Liked this post: G****e
That's why you don't take 1.18 odds into it 😂
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Absolutely my opinion 👍
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Well, had 3.5 goals! But in the end it doesn't matter what odds you take. 1.18 or 5.0...broken is broken. Can say the same, 5er odds you do not take.
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you win with a 1.18 quote just 0.18 of your bet. If you lose a bet with 1.18, you would have to play just over 6 bets with these odds to pay for a mistake. This is absolutely not worth it, especially in combined bets. Every bookmaker rubs his hands, how a player makes his advantage even bigger than it already is.
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I always convert the odds into probability and compare them with the probability I calculated.
I handle it in such a way that I add my Win factor to my probability.
Example: According to my estimation, a result has a chance of 70%.
100 / 70 = 1.42
In order to win something, I calculate a probability of 70 % simply 60 % (always about 10 % less).
100 / 60 = 1,66
Thus the quota 1.66 is in this case Value, since you pay me even more, than from my view would be justified. And so I make a win in the long run.
So for a 1.18 odds I would need a probability of 95% in the 3way. That is not value in a football game, no matter who is against whom.
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Nevertheless, it doesn't matter what you break in the end. Broken is just broken. Btw. lately I make plus thanks to these small odds!
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