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The big GambleJoe Advent Calendar 2023 starts today!
Liked this post: Dan7ela
Theoretically, you have a chance of 40 to approx. 670 on 22 days, which corresponds to a chance of approx. 16.75%.
Due to the 16.75 % chance, it is of course quite possible that most users will be drawn.
In my opinion, however, there is no mathematical background for this, such as the 4% chance of not being drawn.
Since the random generator has no memory, the same 40 users could also be drawn 22 times.
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The problem with last year's statistics is that although only one person qualified 24 times and never won anything, we don't know whether every member who took part always qualified.
I also don't know if it makes a mathematical difference, but with the dice you have the chance to roll all sides again after one roll. The GJ Advent calendar is different. So with each draw, the number of winners and qualifiers is always reduced by one. With 1/631 (the last one to be drawn) you only have a 0.009 chance. So 0.01%. I'm also not a mathematician/statistician and I'm not really interested in this in my private life xD
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The big GambleJoe Advent Calendar 2023 starts today!
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Yes, I had the same thought, but whether it's 17 or 22% makes little difference. It's always 1 in 5 who don't win in the Advent calendar, even though they have always qualified for it. At 4%, it would mean that 0.4/10 people (even if there are no 0.4 people) don't win anything in the event. That seemed too little to me.
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The big GambleJoe Advent Calendar 2023 starts today!
Liked this post: needle34
Is it true that the same 40 users could be drawn 22 times, even if nobody here would want to experience that (except the 40, of course)...😂
Joking aside. We're talking a bit about probability here. And this probability can be calculated mathematically. Of course, there can always be random deviations.
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Here I win nothing either, almost like last year 😪
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Yes me too,😭 nothing times nothing 🤣
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You still have 13 chances. I've been lucky once so far. To be honest, I also find it a bit strange that you read a few names every day that you've never read anything about before or simply have 0% activity
A bit of a shame for those who enrich the forum with their activity. Hope that changes a bit in the course of time.
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Accordingly, I am served for the time being 😄
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Amen 😇
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The big GambleJoe Advent Calendar 2023 starts today!
Liked this post: Falko, gagapapamama, Lionking, Saphira
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