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Current Topic CoronaVirus / Opinion, Exchange
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^^
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Yes well ...... ... .
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https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/panorama/coronavirus-faktencheck-bhakdi-100.html
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The basic assumption from previous experience is that 5% of those who test positive suffer a severe course.
Now I can take the 5% as a basis for extrapolations. That would be 5 people out of 100 tested positive.
Of these 100, perhaps only 50% develop symptoms and would be considered to have the disease according to the definition. Nevertheless, according to the basic assumption, it is 5% of the positively tested, so still 5 people out of 100.
The only difference is that of the group of people defined as having the disease, 10% would be used for the extrapolations. The result would be the same.
It would only make a difference if it was a question of whether the 5% were calculated from all those who tested positive or from all those who were ill according to the definition. But there the statement is clear, from all positive tested.
Or am I making a mistake in my thinking? 😂🤔
I have now taken the 50 percent out of the air, because it is easy to calculate. But the principle is the same.
I would also find random tests interesting and would volunteer to do them😁But they are already testing at the limit, and the resources required are currently scarce as far as I know. Presumably one therefore prefers to test specific suspected cases, so that they do not continue to run around in the area.
I am curious about the study that is to come. So seriously now!
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Liked this post: Herr_D, Stromberg
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I think it could be good!
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Nix more
Only corona
Edit: removed empty quote
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