Patizi wrote on 13.04.2025 at 08:52: My beloved experts and would-be experts,
please explain to me the odds for Stuttgart vs. Bremen and Paderborn vs. Düsseldorf.... Why are the home teams so favored here?
I noticed that the away teams have a very good record in away games. Bremen in 5th place and the Lackschuhchen. Home games should always be more of an advantage. Especially with Stuttgart, with the fans behind them they should be able to go one better, but Werder are always unpleasant. The bookies probably know more again, all mafia🤣. I don't think it's at all unlikely that the games will end in a draw. There aren't that many injured players either
Patizi wrote on 13.04.2025 at 08:52: My beloved experts and would-be experts,
please explain to me the odds for Stuttgart vs. Bremen and Paderborn vs. Düsseldorf.... Why are the home teams so favored here?
I don't quite understand the odds either. Especially not for Stuttgart, simply because of the referee's decision
I also rate the home teams as slight favorites in both games, but both games have X-risk simply because of the table. And the away teams also have decent chances, so both games are not really suitable as tendency bets in my opinion.
Paderborn can take a huge step towards promotion today and Düsseldorf has been really unconvincing recently + many injuries. Of course, I'm wearing the green and white glasses for Stuttgart - Werder (sorry Butterbrezel), but I don't believe in an away win - even though the performance against Frankfurt was outstanding recently. Woltemade plays against his EX and scores, I generally expect a lot of goals
Apart from that, I'm still betting on Newcastle as a handicap today, I just see a big chance there
Andre wrote on 13.04.2025 at 10:22 am: Paderborn can take a huge step towards promotion today and Düsseldorf was really unconvincing recently + many injuries. For Stuttgart - Werder I have the green-white glasses on (sorry Butterbrezel), but I don't believe in an away win - even if the performance against Frankfurt was outstanding recently. Woltemade plays against his EX and scores, I generally expect a lot of goals
Apart from that, I'm still betting on Newcastle as a handicap today, I just see a big chance there
Well, for now it's more about the relegation place and that includes 2 additional games. But you can also see it the other way around. Düsseldorf can also take a big step towards the relegation place. With a win, they are level on points with 3rd place and only the goal difference leaves them in 4th place. In terms of home statistics, Paderborn have won 3 of their last 5 and lost 2. Düsseldorf away with 2 defeats and before that 2 draws. If you go by that, the 1x is probably the safest. But since this promotion battle is once again extremely close, I wouldn't be surprised if Düsseldorf win. If Düsseldorf lose, then that's probably it.
Stuttgart vs. Bremen also has a lot at stake. The winner can clearly continue to dream of Europe, although Stuttgart are in it anyway because of their cup win. However, Stuttgart could spin around a bit because of the CL. Theoretically, Stuttgart could snatch the CL place away from Leipzig on the last matchday because VFB Stuttgart will be visiting Leipzig. Leipzig still have to go to Frankfurt and play Bayern at home. Nothing is saved for them yet either.
What do you think of simply betting both with "both score", maybe combined with over 2.5?
I haven't received an offer for 2 weeks either. Shortly before that they pointed out my game behavior because I had played unusually much and then I should fill out a questionnaire... I also bet a lot in the days, but everything from a single depositor over 50€, so actually not so wild I would think... 😄
Do they exclude you from offers because of something like that? Rather unusual, as long as not a single betting credits promotion from them...
I'll have to ask again.
No offer at Bet365 this weekend either and those tiles on the homepage where offers and promotions were listed are completely gone. No Weetboosts to be found either...
Also this weekend no offer at Bet365 and these tiles on the start page where offers and promotions were in it are completely gone. Also no Weetboosts to be found...
Then they must have blocked me from promotions?
That is indeed strange. On the homepage there is a Superboost for VfB-Bremen, a Bet&Get 20€ for NBA, and a 25% WK-Booster for SGE-Heidenheim. But it would be a very peculiar measure of a user ban: too much betting and therefore offers gone.
Too successful or too little (in the sense of a bonus hunter who only takes the offers and nothing else) I'll put up with, but too much without any significant return (if I've understood your description correctly) is weird. But if that is the case, I could at least imagine that the measure is only temporary until your betting behaviour has "normalized" again - in their interpretation.
Also this weekend no offer at Bet365 and these tiles on the start page where offers and promotions were in it are completely gone. Also no Weetboosts to be found...
Then they must have blocked me for promotions?
Delete cookies, then you can see everything again. But I don't know if you can see anything when you're logged in. You have to test it
Langhans_innen wrote on April 13th, 2025 at 1:23 pm:
That is indeed funny. On the start page there is a superboost for VfB-Bremen, a Bet&Get 20€ for NBA, and a 25% WK booster for SGE-Heidenheim. But it would be a very peculiar measure of a user ban: too much betting and therefore offers gone.
Too successful or too little (in the sense of a bonus hunter who only takes the offers and nothing else) I'll put up with, but too much without any significant return (if I've understood your description correctly) is weird. But if that is the case, I could at least imagine that the measure is only temporary until your betting behaviour has - in their interpretation - "normalized" again.
Yes exactly, played for a long time with a depositor and wagered a lot, but didn't pay out in the end...
I wrote to the support team at... They have actually removed all offers from my account in the course of Player protection and are no longer sending promos...
In the period before the mail about the game behavior I wagered about 250€ - 300€ daily over 8-9 days and deposited about 250€...
What nonsense. But they really seem to be quite particular and fussy. I've often read about cases like yours.
But they've always been so over-correct. They were the only Provider to close down the casino in Germany before the new contract was even in force and it wasn't even 100% certain what was in it.
I've also often noticed that Tipico blocks customers just like that. I wonder on what basis they are even allowed to do that. Player protection? They probably don't believe in it themselves.
This system is exploited to keep players who may have a lucky hand under control.
Unfortunately, when it comes to Bonuses, you can argue that they are allowed to decide which customers get bonuses and which do not. Even if I think the exclusion is unfair (because it means you have a worse offer).
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I noticed that the away teams have a very good record in away games. Bremen in 5th place and the Lackschuhchen. Home games should always be more of an advantage. Especially with Stuttgart, with the fans behind them they should be able to go one better, but Werder are always unpleasant. The bookies probably know more again, all mafia🤣. I don't think it's at all unlikely that the games will end in a draw. There aren't that many injured players either
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I don't quite understand the odds either. Especially not for Stuttgart, simply because of the referee's decision
I also rate the home teams as slight favorites in both games, but both games have X-risk simply because of the table. And the away teams also have decent chances, so both games are not really suitable as tendency bets in my opinion.
With VfB glasses there is of course a 5:1
Today I choose the following games:
Regensburg - Schalke - Schalke win
Utrecht - Groningen - Win Utrecht
2-match combination for odds 3.17
For the games
Paderborn - Düsseldorf
Stuttgart - Bremen
Viktoria Cologne - Bielefeld
i expect a "both meet". I'll play that in a 3-way combo for odds of 4.12.
In each case a single goal in the 1st half.
Viborg - Silkeborg (3.50) and Osasuna - Girona (3.10) I play with X.
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Apart from that, I'm still betting on Newcastle as a handicap today, I just see a big chance there
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Well, for now it's more about the relegation place and that includes 2 additional games. But you can also see it the other way around. Düsseldorf can also take a big step towards the relegation place. With a win, they are level on points with 3rd place and only the goal difference leaves them in 4th place. In terms of home statistics, Paderborn have won 3 of their last 5 and lost 2. Düsseldorf away with 2 defeats and before that 2 draws. If you go by that, the 1x is probably the safest. But since this promotion battle is once again extremely close, I wouldn't be surprised if Düsseldorf win. If Düsseldorf lose, then that's probably it.
Stuttgart vs. Bremen also has a lot at stake. The winner can clearly continue to dream of Europe, although Stuttgart are in it anyway because of their cup win. However, Stuttgart could spin around a bit because of the CL. Theoretically, Stuttgart could snatch the CL place away from Leipzig on the last matchday because VFB Stuttgart will be visiting Leipzig. Leipzig still have to go to Frankfurt and play Bayern at home. Nothing is saved for them yet either.
What do you think of simply betting both with "both score", maybe combined with over 2.5?
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I think that's the best way to go today, although of course you always have to take it with a grain of salt
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Yes, of course...you can see what's coming every day. Things that should be clear go down the drain...
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I'll have to ask again.
No offer at Bet365 this weekend either and those tiles on the homepage where offers and promotions were listed are completely gone. No Weetboosts to be found either...
Then they must have blocked me from promotions?
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That is indeed strange. On the homepage there is a Superboost for VfB-Bremen, a Bet&Get 20€ for NBA, and a 25% WK-Booster for SGE-Heidenheim. But it would be a very peculiar measure of a user ban: too much betting and therefore offers gone.
Too successful or too little (in the sense of a bonus hunter who only takes the offers and nothing else) I'll put up with, but too much without any significant return (if I've understood your description correctly) is weird. But if that is the case, I could at least imagine that the measure is only temporary until your betting behaviour has "normalized" again - in their interpretation.
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Delete cookies, then you can see everything again. But I don't know if you can see anything when you're logged in. You have to test it
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It's been like this for days, I've deleted the cookies several times since then. I do it regularly anyway.
Neither logged in nor not logged in do I see anything...
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Yes exactly, played for a long time with a depositor and wagered a lot, but didn't pay out in the end...
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In the period before the mail about the game behavior I wagered about 250€ - 300€ daily over 8-9 days and deposited about 250€...
Well, that's another bookie out😆
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Langhans_innen
But they've always been so over-correct. They were the only Provider to close down the casino in Germany before the new contract was even in force and it wasn't even 100% certain what was in it.
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This system is exploited to keep players who may have a lucky hand under control.
Unfortunately, when it comes to Bonuses, you can argue that they are allowed to decide which customers get bonuses and which do not. Even if I think the exclusion is unfair (because it means you have a worse offer).
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